The appalling handling of the Lisbon Treaty sowed the seeds of Brexit
Now that the dust has settled on
the 2016 EU Referendum it is worth looking back a few years at the lead
in to the plebiscite. I would argue that it was the arrogant way in
which Labour handled the 2007-08 Lisbon Treaty in Britain which helped
set the conditions for what followed less than a decade later.
The disillusionment with the ‘European
Project’ had already set in some years before. The 1975 referendum on
whether or not to remain in what was then the European Economic
Community (the EEC) saw a two to one vote to stay in what was pitched to
the British people as a “Common Market”. Although some warned at the
time of movement towards a much larger political project, these warnings
were largely dismissed as outside of the political mainstream.
Then in 1992-93 came the great ructions
within the Conservative Party over the Maastricht Treaty. This, of
course, established the European Union (the EU), of which the British
public were to become citizens. Crucially, the Treaty was not put to a
referendum but was left to months of tortured debate progressing through
Parliament and seriously dividing the Conservative Party in the
process.
Further EU Treaties then followed,
including Nice and Amsterdam. I made my maiden speech in 2001 against
the former. It is always worrying when politicians start quoting from
their own speeches but that night I did say this:
“The British people were essentially
told that they were assenting to a free trade area – a common market –
and that is what they endorsed in 1975. The further we move from that
position, the greater the risk that we shall exhaust their patience with
all things European. We are an historically tolerant people, and we are
willing to negotiate and co-operate, but we will not be subsumed by a
foreign superstate that ignores our traditions and undermines our
laws.”(Hansard, 4 July 2001, col 308).
Again, both those treaties were ratified
by Parliament, backed with large majorities, but without a referendum.
The centralising ratchet then gathered pace with the so-called European
Constitution, which, after failing to generate popular support, was
withdrawn and carefully repackaged into the Lisbon Treaty of 2007-08.
There was an iron determination among its architects that this revised
version should not be subject to a referendum (save in Ireland, where it
was constitutionally mandated and actually turned down at first asking,
before Ireland was invited to vote on it again).
Having previously promised a referendum,
Tony Blair and then Gordon Brown’s Government stuck to the fiction that
the Treaty was different to the EU Constitution, despite the House of
Commons European Scrutiny Committee going through both with a fine tooth
comb, and ruling that they were “substantially equivalent”. An ICM poll
in August 2007 showed that 82% of British voters (and even 80% of
Labour voters) favoured a referendum on Lisbon but, yet again, the
British people were denied a say. Instead, working alongside William
Hague who was Shadow Foreign Secretary, I recall spending fourteen
nights debating the Lisbon Treaty in Parliament – aware that we couldn’t
change a single punctuation mark! For me, this was the straw that broke
the camel’s back and convinced me that one day we should leave.
Because the Lisbon Treaty was handled so
appallingly we said at the time that “We shall not let matters rest
there” – and we didn’t. In the Coalition Government which followed this
manifested itself in the European Union Act 2011, which mandated a
referendum if any future government were to recommend a treaty passing
further powers from Britain to the EU. This ‘referendum lock’ was now in
place to prevent another Lisbon – but much damage to public trust had
been caused along the way.
When David Cameron subsequently promised
an In/Out referendum in 2013 – partly in response to external pressure
from UKIP and growing internal pressure from his own backbenches – he no
doubt thought he could win. However, he was doing so against an
undercurrent of increasing disillusionment about the EU among the
British electorate, which had already been fomenting for some years,
with the EU’s Eurobarometer polling series consistently showing the UK
as among the most sceptical countries within the EU. By 2013 this showed
that less than 20% of UK citizens ‘trusted’ the EU or ‘thought it was
going in the right direction.’
In my experience the British people are a
pretty reasonable lot and take quite a bit to be provoked, but they
also have a keen sense of fair play. The cumulative effect of being
told (not asked) to cede powers again and again had not only led to the
growth of a new national political party but had also made the British
public generally sceptical about “Brussels”. It was against this
background that the historic 2016 referendum took place.
I recall in the midst of all the
arguments over Lisbon having lunch with two senior diplomats from two
large European countries – who seemed very satisfied with the Treaty’s
progress (and indeed with themselves). In the end I protested:
“You may think you’re being very
clever with avoiding a referendum but in the long run this won’t benefit
you. All this will do is stir up a further sense of frustration and
resentment in this country towards the EU.”
Just eight years later we voted to leave.
The great irony in all this is that
those who were most passionate about “The European Project” – for whom
it is almost an article of religious faith – fought so hard to deny the
European public a say in their grand design that in the end it backfired
on them, thanks to 17.4 million Brits.
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